Real signal performance
Most free tools that show a "backtest" cherry-pick their best periods or quietly hide their misses. We do the opposite: this page publishes the real return of our scoring signals, recomputed every week, bad numbers included. It is the only proof that counts when you claim a score has value.
The Cash Scanner score is a 0-to-100 rating that blends about a dozen technical indicators — trend, momentum, volatility, volume, support and resistance — across each of the ~4,300 stocks we track. The higher the score, the stronger the confluence of signals. The question everyone should ask, and that nobody documents honestly, is simple: when the score is high, what actually happens next? The table below answers it, with the figures to back it up.
Every day, Cash Scanner scores ~4,300 stocks from 0 to 100. The table below shows what actually happened next, measured on 106 daily score snapshots from 2026-02-28 to 2026-06-21 — including the bad numbers. Alpha is the average excess return of signals vs. all scanned stocks over the same window. Two rates complement it: % winners = how often a signal ends with a positive return; % beat avg = how often it beats the scanned universe average (consistent with alpha).
| Score threshold | Horizon | Avg alpha | % winners | % beat avg | Snapshots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 30 | D+5 | -0.1% | 47.4% | 45.0% | 106 |
| D+10 | +0.1% | 49.1% | 45.9% | 106 | |
| D+20 | +0.3% | 52.4% | 44.5% | 106 | |
| D+40 | +1.0% | 54.8% | 44.0% | 106 | |
| D+60 | +0.2% | 53.3% | 42.6% | 106 | |
| ≥ 40 | D+5 | +0.3% | 49.6% | 48.8% | 106 |
| D+10 | +0.4% | 50.0% | 46.6% | 106 | |
| D+20 | +0.9% | 52.2% | 47.3% | 106 | |
| D+40 | +2.4% | 56.6% | 47.2% | 106 | |
| D+60 | +1.4% | 55.1% | 45.2% | 106 | |
| ≥ 45 | D+5 | +1.0% | 51.0% | 51.8% | 77 |
| D+10 | +1.2% | 60.6% | 51.1% | 77 | |
| D+20 | +0.8% | 56.4% | 47.2% | 77 | |
| D+40 | +4.9% | 57.2% | 48.0% | 77 | |
| D+60 | +6.4% | 60.1% | 43.6% | 77 | |
| ≥ 50 | D+5 | +0.3% | 48.3% | 78.3% | 15 |
| D+10 | +1.0% | 73.3% | 60.0% | 15 | |
| D+20 | +4.2% | 58.3% | 75.0% | 15 | |
| D+40 | +7.1% | 63.3% | 63.3% | 15 | |
| D+60 | +3.6% | 61.7% | 53.3% | 15 |
Methodology & limits
- Point-in-time universe: each day is evaluated with the stocks known that day (survivorship-bias proxy; price coverage 99.1%, PIT-validated).
- Entry at next session's open after the signal (no look-ahead on close).
- Returns are gross: no fees, spread or slippage; not annualized.
- Short measurement window — these are signal statistics, not a simulated portfolio, and past signals do not predict future ones.
- This page is informational only and is not investment advice.
How to read and use these numbers
Two metrics complement each other. Average alpha measures the excess return of a score threshold versus all scanned stocks: a positive alpha means that, on average, targeting that threshold would have beaten the tracked market. The win rate (% winners) shows consistency: a high alpha carried by a low win rate means a few big winners drive the average — worth knowing when sizing your positions.
We publish three horizons (D+5, D+10, D+20) because they serve different styles: D+5 speaks to the swing trader, D+10 and D+20 to the investor who lets a position breathe. Pick the column that matches your real horizon, not the one with the prettiest number.
Finally, an essential reminder: these are aggregate statistics, not a promise on any single stock. A high score improves the odds across hundreds of signals; it guarantees no individual trade. Measured over a short window and in gross returns (no fees or slippage), these results are a starting point for your own analysis and risk management — never a buy or sell recommendation.