Real signal performance
Most free tools that show a "backtest" cherry-pick their best periods or quietly hide their misses. We do the opposite: this page publishes the real return of our scoring signals, recomputed every week, bad numbers included. It is the only proof that counts when you claim a score has value.
The Cash Scanner score is a 0-to-100 rating that blends about a dozen technical indicators — trend, momentum, volatility, volume, support and resistance — across each of the ~4,300 stocks we track. The higher the score, the stronger the confluence of signals. The question everyone should ask, and that nobody documents honestly, is simple: when the score is high, what actually happens next? The table below answers it, with the figures to back it up.
Every day, Cash Scanner scores ~4,300 stocks from 0 to 100. The table below shows what actually happened next, measured on 162 daily score snapshots from 2026-02-28 to 2026-08-16 — including the bad numbers. Alpha is the average excess return of signals vs. all scanned stocks over the same window. Two rates complement it: % winners = how often a signal ends with a positive return; % beat avg = how often it beats the scanned universe average (consistent with alpha).
| Score threshold | Horizon | Avg alpha | % winners | % beat avg | Snapshots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 30 | D+5 | -0.3% | 48.2% | 44.5% | 162 |
| D+10 | -0.3% | 50.4% | 44.3% | 162 | |
| D+20 | -0.5% | 54.1% | 42.3% | 162 | |
| D+40 | -0.8% | 56.7% | 40.4% | 162 | |
| D+60 | -2.3% | 55.7% | 37.8% | 162 | |
| ≥ 40 | D+5 | -0.2% | 48.8% | 46.0% | 162 |
| D+10 | -0.2% | 50.5% | 44.4% | 162 | |
| D+20 | -0.3% | 52.7% | 43.6% | 162 | |
| D+40 | -0.7% | 55.5% | 40.4% | 162 | |
| D+60 | -2.9% | 54.1% | 36.7% | 162 | |
| ≥ 45 | D+5 | +0.1% | 45.1% | 44.4% | 123 |
| D+10 | +0.1% | 57.3% | 44.2% | 123 | |
| D+20 | +0.0% | 57.5% | 41.7% | 123 | |
| D+40 | +1.3% | 56.9% | 35.9% | 123 | |
| D+60 | +1.0% | 60.1% | 33.8% | 123 | |
| ≥ 50 | D+5 | +0.8% | 46.6% | 67.0% | 22 |
| D+10 | +0.8% | 63.6% | 54.5% | 22 | |
| D+20 | +6.3% | 60.2% | 67.0% | 22 | |
| D+40 | +5.9% | 54.5% | 46.6% | 22 | |
| D+60 | +3.3% | 62.5% | 34.1% | 22 |
Methodology & limits
- Point-in-time universe: each day is evaluated with the stocks known that day (survivorship-bias proxy; price coverage 99.0%, PIT-validated).
- Entry at next session's open after the signal (no look-ahead on close).
- Returns are gross: no fees, spread or slippage; not annualized.
- Short measurement window — these are signal statistics, not a simulated portfolio, and past signals do not predict future ones.
- This page is informational only and is not investment advice.
How to read and use these numbers
Two metrics complement each other. Average alpha measures the excess return of a score threshold versus all scanned stocks: a positive alpha means that, on average, targeting that threshold would have beaten the tracked market. The win rate (% winners) shows consistency: a high alpha carried by a low win rate means a few big winners drive the average — worth knowing when sizing your positions.
We publish three horizons (D+5, D+10, D+20) because they serve different styles: D+5 speaks to the swing trader, D+10 and D+20 to the investor who lets a position breathe. Pick the column that matches your real horizon, not the one with the prettiest number.
Finally, an essential reminder: these are aggregate statistics, not a promise on any single stock. A high score improves the odds across hundreds of signals; it guarantees no individual trade. Measured over a short window and in gross returns (no fees or slippage), these results are a starting point for your own analysis and risk management — never a buy or sell recommendation.